Superforecaster (AI Research Project)Weekday AI • US
Superforecaster (AI Research Project)
Weekday AI • US
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job_description.job_card.job_descriptionAffiliation with a recognized forecasting program (e.g., Good Judgment Project, Swift Centre, Rand Forecasting Initiative, International Institute of Forecasters) Proven forecasting accuracy and calibration over multiple years Experience participating in competitive or public forecasting tournaments Strong analytical, probabilistic reasoning, and written communication skills Ability to work independently in a structured, asynchronous environment Fully remote and asynchronous — choose your own working hours Expected commitment : 10–20 hours per week Compensation range : $140–245 per hour (U.S.-based candidates) Engagement classified as independent contractor
This role is for one of our clients
A leading AI research group is seeking top-tier superforecasters to support a high-impact initiative aimed at strengthening AI systems' long-range prediction and reasoning abilities. The role involves generating calibrated, data-driven forecasts across domains such as geopolitics, global markets, macroeconomics, and emerging world events. Ideal for professionals affiliated with respected forecasting communities and with a proven track record of high-accuracy predictions.
Requirements
Key Responsibilities
- Produce well-reasoned, probability-based forecasts on complex global questions
- Clearly document thought process, assumptions, data sources, and methodologies
- Engage in peer review and collaborative refinement of forecasts
- Provide input on prompt design, scoring systems, and question resolution criteria
- Assist in benchmarking and evaluating AI-generated forecasts against expert human performance
Ideal Qualifications
Project Details
Compensation & Terms
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